Public Post Korea – defying demographics My latest video, discussing how Korea is managing to avoid the labour market decline that would usually be expected as the population ages. This is likely to dampen wages – and potentially inflation – in Korea relative to Taiwan, where the part rate isn't rising in the same way.
Public Post Asia – free resource for tracking East Asian economies A new tool to view, chart and download macro data for the region
Public Post Region – does low UE mean labour market tightness? 20 slides analysing structural labour market issues: the puzzle of low unemployment but weak wage growth; supply side changes that have deflected demographics; demand side strength as China offshoring ends; and the implications of the renewed trade war.
Public Post Region – export trends and market implications In LCU terms, there's little to choose between exports in the different economies. But in volumes, China and Taiwan are very strong, and Korea and Japan clearly lagging. This should have implications for CNY, TWD and KRW. For Japan, the significance is for macro if USDJPY turns.
Public Post Region – Asia's dramatic demographics A longer video discussing demographics, the area where Asia is most clearly leading the world. The changes in the population will clearly matter for economies, but Japan's experience shows the macro implications aren't necessarily what might be expected.
