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Region – not much momentum
Today's PMI round points to a modest rebound in activity and exports in November, but not by enough to think the manufacturing cycle is really regaining momentum. Price pressures also feel subdued, though in this Japan is an exception, with "intensified" output price inflation in November.
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Region – Plaza II
Beijing will be very wary of all the talk of a Plaza II agreement. Plaza I is widely seen as a successful effort to stop Japan's economic rise. That imbalances have nonetheless persisted suggests US macro policy has a role to play, but why would US promises to get fiscal under control be credible?