China: weekly update

Paul Cavey

Feb 28, 2022 • 4 min read

East Asia Today

The implication of the midterms on the AI trade is the big issue in the markets: equities sold off, but recovered some losses towards the end of the day. In terms of the data flow, in China there were more partials for PPI inflation last month, and in Japan, the monetary base and tax revenue.

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East Asia Today

The PBC injected liquidity for a second consecutive month in October. CPI inflation in Korea remains near 3%, more because of the cost-push factors than demand-pull. Cost-push includes the semi surge pushing up computer prices, a trend that caused some softness in Taiwan's PMI yesterday.

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Korea – CPI still cost-push

Cost-push – both energy and the spillover from higher chip costs into prices of downstream devices – is keeping inflation near 3%. The BOK expects demand-pull factors to become more obvious. So inflation will likely stay elevated, through for BOK policy, it is overall semi cycle that matters more.