East Asia Econ

East Asia Today

Today's focus is Korea, with consumer confidence and GDP, and yesterday's loan officer survey. Elsewhere, the BOJ has published its own cuts of trade and CPI data. That includes "underlying inflation", though these days the bank itself seems to believe reality is more complicated.

Paul Cavey

Oct 28, 2025 • 2 min read

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Korea – inconclusive data

With yesterday's loan officer survey, and today's release of consumer confidence and GDP, there is lots to dig into. There are some important takeaways, but overall, the releases don't provide clarity on the two big issues facing the economy: house prices, and the outlook for growth.

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East Asia Today

The headlines are dominated by Trump's Asia trip. But there's also been lots of data released: industrial profits in China, services PPI in Japan, and consumer confidence in Taiwan. Export price data for China have also appeared, and echo the stability seen in the data for the rest of the region.

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Japan – services PPI ticks up in September

The steady drop in services PPI inflation stabilised in September, with core ticking up to 2.9% YoY. The data aren't good enough to prove the decline is now over, but I do think a floor should be close. Lumpiness in the data suggests a short-term bounce, and the labour market remains tight.