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Korea - labour market

  • Paul Cavey

Paul Cavey

Feb 16, 2022 • 1 min read

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China – US exports down, but ROW up

China – US exports down, but ROW up

May 9, 2025 2 min read
Taiwan – another export surge
Public Post

Taiwan – another export surge

A lot of market discussion in recent days has centred on hedging by the lifers. The central bank, however, has argued that the move in the TWD was driven by exporters. That is believable: exports grew remarkably strongly in 2020-22, and have done so again through April this year.
May 8, 2025 1 min read
Taiwan – inflation continuing to slow
Public Post

Taiwan – inflation continuing to slow

My framework for Taiwan and the TWD is a structural economic recovery driving a normalisation of inflation after the near deflation of the 20 years before 2020. That remains the theme, but there is now a clear cyclical slowing of CPI. That will intensify if tariffs trigger an export recession.
May 7, 2025 1 min read
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